Duke at North Carolina

North Carolina is looking for its first win against Duke in four tries. The Tar Heels lost a close one to Duke earlier this season on the road. How did Duke beat them? Consider that North Carolina as a terrible 3 for 14 (21%) from beyond the arc and committed 23 turnovers. Contrast that with their season average of 41% from 3-point land and 17 turnovers per game. The Tar Heels are scoring an out-of-this-world 96 points per game at home this season. In a similar game earlier this year, Duke lost on the road to Maryland by 7 after being up by 7 with three minutes left. This Duke team just isn't that good on the road. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite facing an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival are 42-19 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Three stars on North Carolina minus the points.