Drake at Southern Illinois

Two good defenses collide here but the numbers are a little misleading. While Drake is holding opponents at home to under 60 points per game, on the road they are allowing 68.2 per game. In two conference games, S. Illinois has given up 69 ppg. They weak offense does ok at home (65 ppg). Over their last five games, Drake has averaged 68 ppg on offense. So, this situation and matchup provides value on the OVER. In their last 20 road games as an underdog of 6+ points, Drake is 15-5 OVER. This one should get over the low posted total.