Drake at Missouri State

The Bulldogs have survived a 1-6 stretch to come out fighting, and have now claimed the win in three of their last four. They have also gotten the money by covering five of their last six games. Missouri State has played well all season and has a shot to be an NCAA Tournament team. Despite winning their last three games, the Bears have not been covering much of anything as they are a disastrous 1-7 ATS in their last eight. They are also just 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine as a favorite of 7 or more, which includes not covering any of their last eight home games. This one is another inflated number, so I like Drake to hang inside of it and get the ATS win.