Denver University at Santa Clara

Denver is averaging just 55.5 ppg on the season and both of these teams are playing good defense. But, Santa Clara should be able to score enough here to push this over the very low total. Games with a total under 130 involving a team that is off a good defensive performance (allowed 60 or less) vs. a team that scored 55 or less in their last game have gone OVER at a 62% clip over the past decade as the line gets overly deflated. Denver is 9-1 OVER in their last ten road games vs. good 3-point shooting teams (those hitting 37%+). Everything points UNDER here but that's the kind of game we want to go contrarian. We'll back the OVER.