Delaware at Virginia Commonwealth

The Delaware Blue Hens closed the season with six straight losses, so they get one final shot at redeeming themselves. Teams in this situation have proven to be lethal, and getting a bundle of points vs. a VCU team that will be interested in winning here, but not expending a lot of energy as they expect to go deep into this championship round. That has been noted especially in the Colonial Conference where teams as a double-digit favorite, have been horrendous against the spread. I look for Delaware to put up a fight, good enough to stay inside an inflated number. I also like the UNDER here. Delaware is 7-3 OVER on the road and VCU 9-1 OVER at home. So how can this one go UNDER? This is a conference championship game which means more intensity and lower-scoring. VCU is 12-3 UNDER in their last 15 conference tournament games and they are also 13-1 UNDER in their last 14 neutral-court games when instilled as a favorite. I like the UNDER here.