Dayton at North Carolina

Another very large number that we'll look to exploit. North Carolina has really rolled having won eight in a row. But the Flyers haven't been doing so bad themselves having won eight of their last nine. They aren't in the same league (literally and figuratively) but they are playing great defense holding opponents to 59 ppg. They'll need that defense to keep a high-flying North Carolina squad down. NC is averaging 92 per game at home. Look for North Carolina to build an early lead and cruise to a victory but to allow Dayton to stay close enough to get the cover.