Dayton at New Mexico

I'm not sure if New Mexico is as good as their 13-1 record would indicate, but they certainly are a team that will win some games. I am sure that this Dayton team is worthy of a choice getting this many points vs. just about anyone as the Flyers can play and are experienced enough not to wilt on the road. The Flyers at just a 5-point dog to a Villanova team who is hands down better than the Lobos, and they lost to the Cats by 5. The Flyers are good enough to win here, and shouldn't be rattled, so staying close is a pretty likely scenario. I'll go with Dayton in this one.