Dayton at Louisville

This is a moneyline system play based on the recent play of Louisville and this matchup. The Cardinal are 5-1, suffering only a two point loss to BYU on the road. This is a home game for them and their defense (allowing 34.9% opponent FG%) should have no trouble holding down a Dayton team that has scored just 58 ppg on the road this season. Louisville is on a 14-3 run at home on the moneyline after allowing 65 ppg or less in two straight games. We give them even better odds than that to take this one at home. Louisville to win the game outright.