img CBB

Davidson at Kansas

March 30, 2008
img5:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We were on Davidson over Wisconsin and felt we were getting value on them in that game. It's only getting better! It's hard for most to understand just how good this Davidson team is. If the uniform said North Carolina, or Kentucky on it, the feeling would be different. But it says Davidson, and that's value remains on this Cinderella. Most believe this team consists of Stephon Curry and four role players, which is where most go wrong. This is a physical, fundamentally sound TEAM. They have lots of talent, along with the best player in the country on their side. Curry isn't just a tournament phenom. He has played six games now vs Duke, North Carolina, UCLA, Gonzaga, Georgetown and Wisconsin. They all had a plan to stop him, but he has averaged over 30 ppg against these six elite programs. Davidson has beaten the West Coast Champ, the Big-10 Champ, and the Big East Champ to get here, as well as playing close to the Pac-10 Champ, and the ACC Champ! What else could you ask for? Davidson also scrimmaged Texas, and beat them up. Why is Kansas any different?  Even if Curry has an off-game, this team is not necessarily doomed. Curry shot 2-12 from three vs North Carolina on the road in Charlotte, and the Wildcats lost by just 4 points. He shot just 3-10 from beyond the arc against Duke, and they lost by 6, again on the road. Right now, he is in a zone, getting 30+ in the flow of the game, not just jacking up shots. This team is poised and experienced, and doesn't get intimidated or panic. They were down 17 to Georgetown in the 2nd half, and came back to win. They aren't just competing and covering against the heavyweights, they are beating them, and looking like the better team in the process. Wisconsin was 24-2 in their last 26, with two losses by 5 or less. Davidson destroyed them. There is always a "but" when teams like this win. Wisconsin gave up 70 points once in their last 26 games, Davidson topped them all. Georgetown gave up 70 points twice in their last 25 games, Davidson scored 74! Gonzaga gave up 80 points three times the entire season (excluding OT games) to Tennessee, UConn and Memphis, and Davidson got 82! The talk is they are no secret anymore and that Kansas will be ready. Did it really take this long for that to happen? They have played all the best teams, from all the power conferences - teams that have a combined record of 183-26 vs the best competition out there, and not a single one of these games has been played on their home court, and combined they have out-scored them! Close your eyes for a minute and think about that. Forget the name on the uniform that says Davidson. Imagine someone said described to you this game setting. Team A has played tight with or beaten UCLA, Gonzaga, Wisconsin, Duke, North Carolina and Georgetown, all on the road, and has won 25 straight games. They have a player that is averaging 34.3 ppg in the Tourney. Are they a favorite or an underdog? This team is getting 9.5 points, and you will not often find that kind of value. The near-double-digit line is based on the uniform that says Davidson, not on the heart and talent of the team playing. We will take Davidson here, and we also like the OVER. Remember this team has scored more on these big teams than any of the power teams on their schedule. They like to run, as does Kansas, so this will not be a half-court game. This game is a pick-em game, and the winner gets 80+.

4 units on Game Total OVER 146 -110 (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
1H
2H
T
Davidson Wildcats
0
0
57
Kansas Jayhawks
0
0
59
odds odds
 
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