Davidson at Dayton

Davidson is seventh in the 15-team Atlantic 10 in scoring (75.1 points per game), third in shooting, second from long range (.366), and No. 1 in assist-to-turnover ratio led by the frontcourt of 6-10 junior Reed Bailey (19.9 ppg, 6.1 rpg) and 6-7 Bobby Durkin (15.4 ppg, 6 rpg). Durkin is tops in the Atlantic 10 in 3-point percentage (42.9%), which is 26th nationally. They're on a 7-5 spread run, including a straight-up win at Temple (62-61) as an underdog. Dayton's defense is ninth in the conference in points surrendered (69.1 per game), 12th in field goal shooting allowed, and 13th at defending the 3-pointer (.347), while the offense is ninth in scoring. Dayton is on a 3-8 ATS run, including 1-7 ATS as a favorite. That includes a loss to George Washington (82-62) as a 9-point favorite, a 67-59 home loss to George Mason as a 7.5-point favorite, a 76-72 to UMass as a 10.5-point chalk, and a loss to St. Bonaventure (75-53) two games ago as a favorite. Play Davidson.