Creighton vs. Baylor

Baylor was .500 on the road in conference play this season. They're in Colorado for this one after a laugher over Santa Barbara. You need defense deeper into the tournament but Baylor was ninth in the 10-team Big 12 in points surrendered (69.8 ppg) and dead-last in field goal shooting allowed (45.4%). Baylor is 17-32 ATS after a cover as a double-digit favorite. No. 6 seed Creighton has five players scoring in double figures led by 7-1 center Ryan Kalkbrenner (15.9 ppg) and was second in the Big East in 3-point shooting (37.6%). And the defense was second in the conference in points surrendered (64.9 ppg) and field goal shooting allowed (40.5%), plus No. 1 at defending beyond the arc. The Big East has had at least multiple Sweet 16 teams in 15 of the last 20 tournaments. Creighton covered both meetings against the Big 12 this season in a 76-65 win over Texas Tech and a 72-67 loss at Texas. Creighton is 31-17 ATS versus winning teams, plus 10-2 ATS in March action. Play Creighton.