Colorado State at Oregon

Colorado State has started off the 2009 campaign with back-to-back wins. But, let's not forget this team went 9-22 last year so there is still a ways to go. Their two early wins have come against Cal Davis and Winston Salem. Now they get an Oregon team that is in a whole different league. While the Rams beat Cal Davis by 18 points, the Ducks beat 'em by 51! While the Rams beat Winston Salem by 17, the Ducks beat 'em by 31. Again, this is going to be a shock to the Rams. Oregon State has all five starters from last year while Colorado State has just three. Home favorites with 2+ more returning starters in the early-going have hit at a 67% ATS clip the past decade. I like Oregon to win big here.