This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 4:34PM ET.
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Clemson at Air Force

March 27, 2007
img9:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Both of these teams looked like NCAA tournament locks midway through the season, and both had disappointing finishes. Air Force has dominated teams at home with this group winning 58 of 60 games. The problem, especially lately, is playing away from the comfort of their home court. Over their last games away from home we have seen them shoot just 39.7% and 31.3% from three-point range, while giving up 47.8% and 32.3% from beyond the arc. They also have had a 10 rebound per game deficit to overcome. This has all resulted in a 1-6 mark down the stretch away from home. Clemson started 17-0, and completely folded. A closer look, however, shows they lost to some very potent teams. Clemson suffered 10 losses on the season, and eight of those losses were to teams in the NCAA tournament, and seven of those seeded within the top 25 teams in the country. Air Force has had a good run, but without some home-cooking they would be ordinary. The Falcon’s stats at home vs. on the road are a long way apart. Clemson in this one.

2 units on Clemson +1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
PUSH
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