Cincinnati at South Florida

South Florida has now played in 19 Big East games and the win total stands at just one, including 0-3 this year. Cincinnati is coming off their worst performance of the season losing big at home to Rutgers. We just don't see the value in backing a favored team that has won just one conference game in over a year. Cincinnati already has wins vs Temple, Xavier, and NC State so there is no doubt which team has more talent. The bad loss to Rutgers has affected this line. Consider also that South Florida is 5-20 ATS over the past decade in close games (+3 to -3). We'll take the visitor here.