Cincinnati at Mississippi State

A low total that isn't low enough for a pair of powerhouse defensive squads in this showdown of one-loss teams. Cincinnati is all about defense for coach Mick Cronin, allowing just 56.4 points per game after holding high-scoring Xavier to 32 points below its season average (79.3) in a 62-47 triumph last week. The Bearcats are limiting shooters to 31.1 percent from three-point range, on a 40-10-1 run UNDER the total on the road. Mississippi State is 8-2 UNDER the total against teams with winning percentages above .600. Cincinnati won 65-50 when they met last season and this will be another defensive war. Play the UNDER.