Central Florida at Cincinnati

Central Florida is certainly not on the level of Cincinnati, but the Bearcats are an offensively starved team that hasn't exactly been playing very well in losing three of their last four. This is an offense that has not a single player averaging double-digits on the season, and as a team they have averaged just 57 points per game in their last seven. That puts them in trouble to big favorite lines, something that has been a tough spot for them this season as they are just 1-5 ATS in their six games as a 10+ point favorite on the season. Their first meeting saw just 102 total points scored in the game, and with a line of 16, that is 30% of the Bearcats' last seven game average, which is far and away too high. Play the points on Central Florida.