Central Florida at Baylor

The Baylor Bears are 14-8 and 6-5 in conference play. The Bears have played a demanding out-of-conference schedule, sit at #26 in the Ken Pom ratings, and are a bubble-type team. Central Florida is 13-9 but just 4-7 in conference play and needs big wins. These teams have not been as good defensively as perhaps they were expected to be. The Knights are 8-5 ATS in their last 13 games and have been much more competitive when taking double-digits. The Knights are 4-1 ATS when they are a double-digit dog on the season. They won at Texas Tech as a 14-point dog and lost to Houston by just a single point. This line is too high and will make the play on Central Florida.