California vs. Stanford

California has overachieved all year under first-year coach Mark Fox. The Golden Bears carry an 8-5 spread run into Las Vegas for a Pac-12 tourney battle against rival Stanford. Fox is 72-40 ATS when coming in off a loss against a conference rival, including 44-23 ATS off a road loss to a conference rival. Stanford is favored but is on a 5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS slide, losing three times as chalk. Stanford is 77-104 on the road against teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game, so back the dog in a close one. Play California.