California Davis at Oregon State

Against common opponents this year, Cal has won 7 of 9 games and covered six of eight. Oregons state is 3-6 SU and 4-4 ATS vs. this same bunch. OSU has consistently struggled in close games over the past few years (20-39 ATS in games at +3 to -3 including 12-25 ATS at home). They have also done poorly at home vs. good teams like Cal (6-16 ATS since '97 vs. teams at 60%+ SU). OSU's offense has dried up as they are barely scoring 62 over their last five games. Against Cal's great defense, that spells trouble. Lay the small number on California for three stars.