Cal Riverside at Long Beach State

The public sees a team that is 2-11 on the road visiting a team that is 8-4 at home. Thus 14 points. But, I see a 5-6 ATS road team going to a 4-5 ATS home team. The recent performance looks the same. Over the past five games, LBS is 4-1 SU while UC-Riverside is 1-4 SU. But, ATS, LBS is 2-2 while Riverside is 3-2! See a pattern here? Fourteen points is just too much. And, it gets better when you consider that LBS has the worse defense here. They are allowing 80 ppg on the year and 82.4 per game over their last five. Riverside allows 79 per game on the year and they've cut that to 71.8 per game over their last five. LBS relies on their offense. Sure, LBS wins this one but by less than 14 points. Three stars on UC-Riverside.