Cal Poly SLO at Long Beach State

Cal Poly SLO has covered three of five. They're 21-10 ATS versus winning teams. The defense is just ninth in the 11-team Big West in points allowed. Long Beach State is a big favorite but on a 3-4 SU/ATS run. That included an 82-76 loss to Cal State Bakersfield two games ago as a favorite. They're on a 14-7 run OVER the total with the defense last in the Big West Conference in points surrendered (76.4 per game) and the third-worst at defending the 3-pointer (.341%). The offense is just ninth from the free throw line (.694%). Long Beach State is 4-12 ATS after scoring 75+ points in two consecutive contests, plus 5-17 ATS after a spread cover. They're also 19-9 OVER the total after a victory. These teams played an 89-82 game last month, so look for another close, high-scoring affair. Play Cal Poly SLO + OVER the total.