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BYU at Texas A&M

March 20, 2008
img7:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's hard to believe what has happened at A&M. Just four years ago this program was in shambles, culminating in an 0-18 finish in the Big-12. They have since played in the post-season every year since then. It starts with good defense, as the Aggies are one of the top defensive teams in the country, allowing just 39% against a very tough schedule. They play with the ultimate team concept. They have two players with over 100 assists, and seven that average over 3 rpg, and their top six scorers are separated by just 3 ppg. They have thrived against good competition having been 33-16 ATS vs teams with a .600+ winning percentage, and can play away from their home-court as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral court games. That includes 3-0 this year in the Big-12 tourney. BYU is virtually unbeatable at home where they have racked up 47 straight wins. The road has been a different story. They are never an underdog at home, and they have played to a 24-56-2 ATS mark as a dog. As great as they have been at home, when you get them out of that building, they struggle. They have had some very good teams over the past decade, but even so, they haven't been able to come away with their conference tournament since 2002-03. To their credit, they have taken advantage of their home-court dominance, but the problem is, they become a different team when they aren't there. They are just 4-14 SU against BCS conference teams over the last five years when they don't get them on their court. On the flipside, Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS the past three seasons in neutral court games and 13-4 ATS in all March games over that span. We like the Aggies to advance in this one.

3 units on Texas A&M -1 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1H
2H
T
BYU Cougars
0
0
67
Texas A&M Aggies
0
0
62
odds odds
 
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