For those that have been with us for awhile, you know we love the barking home dogs, but this is one we absolutely don't like. The situation and what has occurred this season applies directly here. Butler is going to be a big public favorite and this time we agree. Butler is coming off of two straight losses for the first time this season. They lost to two very good basketball teams, both peaking right now. This will be an angry Butler team and it is no place for a dog, especially one that looks good at 16-12, and looks capable of springing the upset, or at least staying close. A look back at this 16-12 team is very revealing. They have amassed a 16 win season without beating any teams with a winning record and two non-division1A opponents. Let's take a look at how they have fared against any team with a winning record. They lost to Loyola, Chi by 17 at home and 19 points on the road. They lost to Wright St. by 11 at home and 11 on the road. They lost to a 16-8 N. Dakota St. team by 12 points at home. They lost to a 15-13 Oakland team by 17 points on the road. They lost to Michigan St. by 12 points and Wisconsin by 19. Last but not least, they lost to Butler by 21 points at Butler. That is nine games vs. teams with winning records, four of which were at home, and they are 0-9. Not only are they 0-9 but they haven't even sniffed a win, as they have dropped all nine games by 11 points or more, an average of 15.2-points per game (PPG) in the nine losses. The nine games they played against teams with winning records they were down at half-time by 15 points or more in seven of them! Wisconsin-GB gives up 43.6% shooting on the season, but 49% to winning teams, and 36.8% from the three-point arc, but 46% to winning teams. This team has feasted on the cupcakes but has been a Thanksgiving Dinner with all the trimmings for the good teams. Butler by plenty!
This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 2:40PM ET.
CBB
Butler at Wisconsin
February 19, 2007
8:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Butler -5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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