This pick was released to clients on March 09, 2024 at 1:29PM ET.
img CBB

Brown at Yale

March 9, 2024
img12:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Yale is at home and in a huge game, tied for first with Princeton. Four teams qualify for the Ivy League Tournament and are set in Yale, Princeton, Cornell and Brown, but seeding and the regular-season champ are still undetermined. Brown has won five in a row with the offense clicking, scoring 78, 71, and 89 points in the last three contests. But this is a tough situational spot and Brown has a losing road mark. They're seventh in the eight-team conference in shooting (.424), last from the free-throw line (.650), and sixth in shooting allowed (.447). Brown is 43-67 ATS after covering two in a row. Yale is second in field goal shooting (.471), while the defense is No. 1 in field goal defense (.416) and second in points given up (66.5 per game). Yale is 13-6 OVER the total as a favorite, plus 13-2 OVER at home after scoring 80+ points in two consecutive contests. Yale already won at Brown by 10 points and is on a 31-20 spread run, as well as 22-8 ATS off a spread cover. The last three meetings between these rivals have all sailed OVER and this shapes up as another one with more offense than defense. Back home court in a high-scoring affair. Play Yale + OVER the total as a Max Play. 

1 unit on Yale -11.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total OVER 139.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
OT
F
Brown Bears img
36
37
11
84
Yale Bulldogs
43
30
8
81
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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