This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 5:43PM ET.
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Bowling Green at Toledo

March 6, 2006
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

These teams have faced each other twice this year already and Bowling Green has covered both times even though the line has yet to be double digits. Tonight Bowling Green goes into Toledo getting 13.5 points which is more than they are going to need. In fact, Bowling green has covered 3 of the 4 times they were 13.5 point underdogs this season. BG is able to hit the outside shot at around 38% this year and that has kept their games close at time. They are scoring over 65ppg on the year which is slightly less than the 68.7ppg that Toledo has been scoring. Neither team does well on the boards as they are both under 30 rebounds per game and the edge goes to Bowling Green when talking about FT percentage; 72% compared to just under 68%. This game should favor Toledo at home when the clock reached final, but taking 13.5 points in a close game is the smart play here. Three stars on Bowling Green.

3 units on Bowling Green +13.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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