Bowling Green at Ohio

Bowling Green is in a tailspin having lost four of their last five games. It hasn't been much better for Ohio but this game is at home and that will make the difference between a small win and a blowout. They are 9-0 at home, scoring 73 points per game and holding foes to just 62. Their defense has improved since conference play began as they are holding conference foes to just 57.7 per game. That spells major trouble for the Falcons who average a paltry 62.1 per game on the road and 60.7 to conference opponents. Over the past three seasons, Bowling Green is just 6-17 ATS vs. teams at 60%+ SU. The past two seasons they are 10-19 ATS in conference play. Ohio also has revenge going for them here and they are 10-2 ATS the past two seasons playing with revenge.