Bowling Green at Kent State

Kent State is 5-1 at home while Bowling Green is just 3-5 on the road. The Falcons have really struggled to score this season, averaging just 56.4 points per game on the road. Kent scores 76.5 per game at home so I am looking for a good old fashioned blowout in this one. Both of these teams faced Xavier this season. While both struggled to score, the defensive effort was telling. Kent allowed Xavier to score 77 but BG allowed 101. In their only other three games as a big underdog (9.5 or more), the Falcons lost all three games both SU and ATS. The average outcome in those games? BG lost 77-47 - an average of 30 points per game. I like Kent to get it done here.