Austin Peay at Middle Tenn State

This spread is too small. Middle Tennesee State has covered the last two played here and I expect them to make it three straight tonight. Austin Peay is a terrible 1-5 ATS while MTS is 5-2 including perfect at home. They are outscoring Austin Peay by 9 points per game and when you compare Austin's road scoring vs. MTS's home scoring, the gap widens to 16.  The defensive gap is 19. Austin Peay is 5-15 ATS as a road underdog over the past three seasons. and 3-14 ATS in non-conference games over the same period. This should be a blowout. One star on Middle Tennessee State.