This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 7:00PM ET.
img CBB

Auburn vs. Iowa

March 16, 2023
img6:50 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Auburn was favored in its first nine games and won 'em all. But they went 12-12 after that beginning with a showdown against Memphis, losing 82-73 as a small favorite. There are too many holes in this team with a struggling defense down the stretch, rebounding problems, and ranking 12th in the SEC in 3-point shooting (31.4%). They finished 11th in the SEC in defensive rebounding. Auburn is 42-24 UNDER the First Half Total away from home against teams that take 21+ 3-pointers per contest. Iowa was last an underdog at No. 15 Indiana and won 90-68 straight up. In their last two games as a dog, they allowed 36 and 27 first-half points. The Hawkeyes have the big inside game to take advantage of Auburn with 6-8 junior Kris Murray (20.4 ppg, 7.9 rpg) and 6-9 senior Filip Rebraca (14.1 ppg, 7.6 rpg). Iowa is 14-5 ATS after failing to cover two of its last three, while coach Fran McCaffery is 82-62 ATS in non-conference tilts. They're also 26-13 UNDER the First Half Total away from home off consecutive Big 10 losses. Play Iowa + UNDER the First Half Total.

1 unit on Iowa +1.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 71.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Auburn Tigers img
31
52
83
Iowa Hawkeyes
26
49
75
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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