This pick was released to clients on December 30, 2023 at 10:15AM ET.
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Arkansas State at Troy

December 30, 2015
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Arkansas State has a losing record and heads out on the road. The Red Wolves went 2-7 against Division I opponents and are 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS away from Jonesboro. This is the fifth road game in the last eight contests for Arkansas State and the Red Wolves are on a 7-18-1 ATS run. They run into a Troy team that has played well despite a tough schedule. The offense has a strong one-two punch in sophomore Wesley Person (17.9 points per game) and Jordon Varnado (17.6 ppg), with the duo accounting for 46 percent of Troy's points. Varnado ranks third among all freshmen in the country in scoring and field goal percentage. Troy plays great defense at home, 11-4 UNDER the total here, plus 8-3 UNDER at home against a team with a losing road record. Troy is coming off a heartbreaking 83-80 loss at Ole Miss of the SEC before the holiday break. The Trojans rallied from down 13 points in the second half to force overtime with the Rebels behind Jeremy Hollimon's 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting. Troy is 10-4 ATS the last 14 meetings with Arkansas State and the value is for the home team to win a defensive game. Play Troy on the moneyline and play the UNDER. 

1.5 units on Troy -185 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.31)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 158 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Arkansas St. Red Wolves img
37
47
84
Troy Trojans
45
36
81
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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