Arkansas State at Texas State

These teams are pretty evenly matched at least in the win column, but Texas State has been the better team this season overall. Texas State has seen their defense transform from below average early in the season to a dependable staple of late. The Bobcats have gone 10 straight games without allowing an opponent to produce more than 66 points, and six of their last eight have played UNDER the total after playing a long string of OVER the total early in the season. These teams made it to 137 in the first meeting, but a lot has changed since them, and the total matches that 1st meeting score, but I expect a lot less here. Take the UNDER.