Arkansas Little Rock at Arkansas State

The winner of this game moves on to the Sun Belt semi-finals to face FIU or Middle Tennessee. The Red Wolves have played good vs. ALR of late, winning three straight times including both meetings this year. I don't see anything different happening here in this game. The Trojans are a losing road team (both SU and ATS). They are also just 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a win and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. winning teams. Arkansas State has covered six of their last seven and there's no room for a letdown here with the tournament on the line. Arkansas State is playing good basketball right now and I like them to win and cover.