Arizona at Illinois

Ladies and gentlemen, this is a home game for the Illini. Illinois has been cruising to easy victories, barely breaking a sweat while Arizona had to leave it all on the floor to get the last second "W" against Oklahoma State. They are 35-0 vs a line of -5, as all their games they won by 6 or more. In the last 14 Illinois games none have gone over 146 and the average score has been 125.2. Illinois will be playing aggressive "D" tonight. They haven't allowed an opponent to go over 70 points in their last 24 games. Arizona is 12-4 under on the road vs. winning teams this year (i.e. those that can play some defense against them). The Cats have reached 80 only 4 times last nine games - their worst stretch all year. The 9 games prior they were at 80+ in 8 of 9. They've obviously "slowed down." They will not smell 80 today. That is significant because they are 15-2 ATS last 17 getting to 80, and 7-11 ATS under 80. This is a perfect matchup of side and total. Four stars on Illinois and three more on the Under.