Alabama State at Miss Valley State

Mississippi Valley St. is the worst team in college basketball, according to KenPom at #364. The Delta Devils are 3-22 on the season. They play very slowly and shoot the ball just 50 times a game. Alabama St. is 11-14 on the season, but the Hornets may have problems covering the huge number here. Alabama St. shoots just 41% on the season. Hitting a low percentage of their shots in a low-possession game on the road will not make it an easy cover. The Hornets are just 6-11 ATS on the road, shooting just 38.3% on the season. Mississippi Valley St. is 4-1 ATS in their five-lined home games, allowing opponents to outscore them by just 6.3ppg. I like Mississippi Valley St. in this one.