Alabama State at Iowa

Alabama State is off to a 0-4 start as the schedule has been daunting for the Hornets. Ironically they have been a dog of 19 points or more in all four games and have covered all of them. Iowa is 3-0 and has been unchallenged as the lowest line they have faced is being a favorite by -19.5 points, so this game they are favored by nearly 30. Alabama State will struggle to score on a strong Iowa defense, and one reason the Hornets have been covering is the defense has allowed fewer than 80 points in three of the four games. I think Iowa plays very unmotivated here, with lots of garbage time, and Alabama State has defended well against good teams for the most part. Play the UNDER in this one.