Alabama vs. Florida

The Florida Gators were projected to win it all last year, but they ran into a buzzsaw in the NCAA Tournament, falling to eventual Champion UConn. The Gators were severely overrated at the beginning of the season, and with so many key losses, a projected top 10 team fell flat on its face. The Gators finished the year at 15-16, and had a losing record in SEC play. Alabama had a bit more success, finishing at 18-13, and lost to the Gators by two points in their only meeting this season. The Gators have severely faltered playing at a neutral site where they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six, and have covered just one of their last six SEC tilts, and remain overvalued. The Tide has three guards that all score in double-digits, and guard play is crucial in the postseason, and they have the edge here. Make the play on Alabama.