Alabama at Mississippi State

The wheels have come off for this Alabama team. They started 13-1, worked their way into the top 10, and have since been 7-8. Part of the struggles are due to Ron Steele's knees. He has missed games and will miss again today. Mississippi State will not be tourney bound because of their inability to win on the road where they are 3-9. Home is a completely different story, where they have covered 20 of their last 28 and have a 12-1 ATS record vs. teams with a .400 or less road winning percentage. They have also been a perfect 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 6.5 or less.