Alabama at LSU

The Cajun Cats are on the improve after dropping their first five games in SEC play. LSU has now won three straight, while also on a 7-2 ATS run. LSU began the season searching for answers bankrupting backers to the tune of 2-12 ATS along the way. The Cats dropped their first three SEC home games by an average of 15 points per game. They lost at home to Tennessee by just two and a hot Kentucky team by four points while winning impressively at Florida, and Ole Miss at home. A net scoring deficit of -72 in the first half of SEC play has become a +14 over the second half (seven games each). The Tide started 10-3, but has since been just 5-11, and has broken through on the road just once all season. They are just 2-6 ATS on the road, and it took scoring 19 points in the last two minutes against Ole Miss to squeeze out a cover, in a game that was never in doubt on the scoreboard. They also eked out a 1.5-point cover at Mississippi State. These teams are heading in different directions, so we like the Cats at home.