Akron at Western Michigan

The Zips are a solid, balanced team. They are 6-2 in conference and tehy average 73.4 ppg. But, most of those nice stats come from playing at home. Away from home, their scoring average drops nearly 10 ppg and they are just 4-5 SU and 3-5 ATS! Then you have Western Michigan, a team most people don't believe is as good as Akron. But, at home they are 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They average 72.4 per game here compared to Akron's 68.1 on the road. What about defense? Akron gives up 68 per game away from home compared to just 57.2 per game allowed by the Broncos. Western Michigan is 6-0 ATSA the past three seasons at home vs. good defensive teams and 14-5 ATS overall at home over the past two seasons. The oddsmakers make this a pick 'em but we like the Broncos chances at home much more than that.