Air Force at San Diego State

Air Force is all about low-scoring games as their games average just 118 ppg on the season. San Diego State plays excelleng defense, holding foes to 64 per game. But, they can score too. They are averaging 70.1 ppg on offense. So, with this line, it comes down to how much success the Aztecs can have against the Falcons' defense. We think at home, they will have enough to drive this game OVER. The Aztecs are 22-11 OVER following three straight conference games the past three seasons. Over that span they are also 23-11 OVER following and OVER and 15-4 OVER coming off two straight OVERs. Under Steve Fisher, this team is 44-31 OVER vs. conference foes and 23-12 OVER after scoring 80+ their prior game. With a total this low, there's little room for error in selecting the under. We'll go contrarian and take the OVER here.