This pick was released to clients on September 27, 2012 at 5:43PM ET.
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Air Force at Saint Mary's

January 11, 2005
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

AFA has been playing better of late, and St. Mary's is more of an up tempo team, so they may struggle with AFA's slow it down and "D" - it - up style. AFA has finally adjusted itself to the deaprture of head coach Joe Scott. The Academy hits some threes here and this line is a very bad one. Air Force is 23-6 ATS versus good rebounding teams (outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game) since 1997. Air Force is 13-3 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. This line is too high. Yes, St. Mary's is a good team, but Air Force has started playing better and isn't that bad. They are beginning to hit their stride as they head into the Mountain West. This should be a very good ballgame. Three star pick on the Fliers.

3 units on Air Force +8.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
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