Air Force at New Mexico

The Lobos 22 wins to just six defeats certainly has them thinking Big Dance and they will likely get a bid unless they fall down the stretch, having dropped their last two. They will call on their staple tonight which is strong defensive efforts at home. The Lobos have held each of their last four opponents at home to 54 points or less and an average of a stingy 47.3ppg. Air Force certainly won't challenge those numbers as the Falcons netted just 42 in the first matchup and like to play slow and shorten games. Air Force has always had a history of tightening things up and slowing them down after a loss which has resulted in a 35-16-1 mark to the UNDER after a loss. The Lobos are likewise at 20-8 to the UNDER after a loss. Play this one on the UNDER.