This pick was released to clients on November 23, 2022 at 9:36PM ET.
img NFL

Dallas (NFL-110) MONEYLINE + Pittsburgh (NFL-111) MONEYLINE

November 24, 2016
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Combine the Cowboys (-250) and the Steelers (-365) into a 2-team parlay at -128 odds. While I am not sure which teams will cover the spread in these two games, I like both favorites to win the games outright so we are going to put them into a two-team moneyline parlay.

The Cowboys are sitting pretty at 9-1 and control their own destiny for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Ezekiel Elliott has surpassed high expectations and Dak Prescott has exploded through low ones. This team is winning by double-digits on average. What you worry about when that happens is a letdown - getting caught unprepared. But that should not happen today. This is a nationally televised division game against a hated rival that is playing well. The Cowboys should show up here and if they do, they are simply too talend to lose at home to the Redskins. The Skins started the season 0-2 but have gone 6-1-1 since. Why the turnaround? Well, turnovers is one reason. After losing the turnover battle in their first two games, the Redskins have enjoyed a 12-9 turnover advantage since. The Cowboys take care of the ball so Washington can't count on the advantage in this one. Under Jason Garrett, the Coboys are 14-2 straight-up in home games when favored in this range (-160 to -280). They are also 22-15 vs. division foes and 32-15 following an ATS win under Garrett. Washington is allowing over 370 yards per game and Dallas should have a field day against that. Dallas should win this game.

Pittsburgh is not a great team by any means, but they get a break here with their Thanksgiving day opponent. The Colts have been a mess this year, coming in at 5-5. Their defense is awful, allowing 27.3 points and nearly 400 yards per game. On the season, they are getting outgained and outscored on average. That was all with Andrew Luck under center, who is really carrying a bad team. Without him, this team could be winless and I think they have almost no shot of winning here without him. While 9 points is a lot for a .500 team to lay on the road Big Ben and the Steelers should win this game outright.

1.5 units on 2 Team Parlay: (-128) (risk 1.5 to return 2.67)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Washington Football Team
0
6
0
20
26
Dallas Cowboys img
7
10
0
14
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Pittsburgh Steelers img
14
7
0
7
28
Indianapolis Colts
0
7
0
0
7
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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