Proposition wagering is a relatively newer segment of the betting world that has grown in popularity in the last few decades. These bets center around individual players, such as Over/Under home many points or rebounds they will get tonight. It can also apply to team totals, such as Duke will get Over/Under 73.5 points.
Or what will happen in a game: Which teams scores first? Who will lead at halftime? Some props are foolish and simply for fun, such as "the Final score for one team will be an Odd or Even number?" But many have strong wagering values that are there to be taken advantage of - if your goal is to make money.
Why Use Free College Basketball Prop Picks
Trying to win while wagering is always more than just examining stats. Other factors come into play, some that combine with stats and others that are more important. If a star player's prop is Over/Under 20.5 points, the number will be around that player's scoring average.
However, how good or bad is the team defense he'll be facing? Who will the star scorer be matched up against? If he likely to be double-teamed by the opposing coach? That could mean fewer points and more assists as he looks to pass out of the double-team often.
Situations come into play, as well. Perhaps the player is at the end of a challenging four-game road trek or playing his third game in three nights, which happens during tournament action. Carefully examining publications such as Free College Basketball Prop Picks will help you focus on all of the factors that can influence a player's likely performance.
Betting Value in Free College Basketball Prop Picks
The oddsmakers are going to put player prop numbers up largely based on his overall season stats. Props such as "Player X Will Hit Over/Under 5.5 3-Point Attempts" suggests he normally makes five to six treys in a game. The key is to assess whether the player will underperform or overperform versus his season average.
Not all odds are going to be even-money or minus-110, either. If too much money is coming in on one side of a prop, the oddsmaker will adjust it to minus-130 or +140. The money move is an indication that you're not alone in thinking the number is off or a player is going to under or overperform tonight. This is where line shopping comes into play, by searching around for the best value number.
In addition, if you project a final score of 77-67 and the favorite is minus-10, there's no value on the side. But if the prop team total is 70.5 on the favorite, you've identified where the superior wagering value is.
Wunderdog Free College Basketball Prop Picks
I scrutinize all the betting numbers posted each day, including individual and team props. Any props I release I'm also betting on. The college basketball prop picks I release to my clients are also going to have the reasons explained.
You can back them to increase your bankroll, or simply take a close look at the props to increase your wagering knowledge. And since they're free, you really are gaining something valuable for nothing.
Free NCAA Prop Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NCAA Prop Picks Pros:
- Compare your props with ones the pros are on
- Props open up new areas to identify wagering value and winners
- Nothing spent on picks means more for betting
Free NCAA Prop Picks Cons:
- Props have unique handicapping mechanics that take time to digest
- No explanations provided alongside the prop pick
- Not all handicappers have the knack for pinpointing top props
Premium NCAA Prop Picks Pros:
- Time saver for you, especially if you're new to wagering
- Variety of props offers great wagering value (individual player props, team totals, first-half wagers)
- You get the best props early before line movement intervenes
Premium NCAA Prop Picks Cons:
- Prop won/lost records are unavailable
- Annoying salesmen
- Too many props on one game can diminish the fun of viewing basketball
How To Win With Free College Basketball Prop Picks
Deciphering the best odds on the board requires putting the time to investigate carefully, be it sides, Moneylines, parlays, or props. Props provide a large volume of wagering opportunities, especially when there are fewer games such as Final Four weekend.
More options mean the chance to exploit softer odds. Then you break down a few props that stand out. Is this team capable of scoring over 68.5 points? Is this player going to struggle in the low post, meaning they may go UNDER a prop offering combined points + rebounds?
And if you're not sure how to begin assessing props, signing up and examining free college basketball picks will get you headed in the right direction while providing the winning reasons why.
Free College Basketball Prop Picks Betting Strategy
Teams and Players You Know Best
When trying to assess props on how many points, rebounds, or assists a player is going to get, go with what you know best. That means looking at the teams you follow most closely. The same applies to props on how many total points a time might get.
Most NCAA college basketball fans follow their team or one conference very closely. They know who's in first place, who the top players are, and who the good and mediocre coaches in the conference are. This makes examining individual props much easier as you have a good sense of what that player is capable of going.
For instance, your favorite team has a terrific 3-point shooting guard leading the team in scoring. It's easy to find out what his shooting percentages and scoring averages are which will be reflected in the prop bet. But you also probably have a sense about what defenses he excels against and what teams and defenses he can struggle against.
Also, examine closely a player's home/road splits. If he averages 19 per game at home but 12.5 on the road, that will aid in assessing whether the prop number is accurate or off.
Matchup Mania
Matchups are always worth looking at closely when trying to gauge prop bets. If a great rebounder will be matched up against a bigger wide body in the low post or a terrific defensive rebounder, that's a tough matchup to hit his usual rebounding average.
You can pinpoint matchups ahead of time when a player will excel or struggle. That talent surrounding the star player factors into this, as well. If a great score has to carry the team every night, he may average 30 shots per game. But if a team has three players who share the load, their best player may be averaging 17 points but taking far fewer shots.
That same logic goes for team prop scoring totals. If a team that focuses on defense and a slow pace averages 62 points per game, they may actually be in for an unexpectedly great offensive night if they're facing a poor defensive team. The oddsmakers may have a team total of around 63 points, but this may be the right spot and matchup to play OVER.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Looking back at previous meetings between college basketball teams can offer a lot of insight surrounding props. College conference rivals may have a history of playing choking defense when they meet. Check the shooting percentages of the last few meetings.
The final scores will all be different, but you may see patterns with shooting percentages. Rivals may play a string of games where the shooting percentages are 38% to 41%, and then 42% to 37% in the next encounter.
That implies that the coaches are demanding great defensive hustle as the game may mean a lot in the conference standings. Low shooting percentages are even more common during tournament time with so much on the line. That presents UNDER the total opportunities on many teams and player props.
Free College Basketball Prop Picks Subscription
My college basketball releases have been examined from multiple angles to identify the best wagering values on the prop card. I've been analyzing matchups, line movement, odds, and stats for decades and know the right necessary to unearth winning edges.
You can take advantage of my Free College Basketball Prop Picks on a subscription service to a leg up on the odds and the bookmakers. Don't try to do attack props all by yourself when you can play alongside a seasoned, documented expert for free!
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