Western Illinois survived its quarterfinals match last night leaning on defense in a 61-59 win over Tennessee State. Western Illinois is second in the Ohio Valley Conference in points given up (64.1 per game), third in field goal shooting allowed (.412), and second at defending the 3-pointer (.306). The offense is just eighth in the 11-team conference in points scored and last in free-throw shooting (.643). Western Illinois is on a 19-9 run UNDER the total, including 18-9 UNDER as an underdog. Arkansas Little Rock can play great defense, too, third in the conference in points given up (67.4 per game) and No. 1 in field goal shooting allowed (.399). Arkansas Little Rock is on a 10-1-1 run UNDER the total. These teams played a fierce defensive duel last month, 63-60, and this will be another one. Take Western Illinois/Arkansas Little Rock UNDER the total.
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Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Arkansas Little Rock will win by a score of 67.5 to 63.0 with Arkansas Little Rock winning on the moneyline.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Arkansas LR Trojans on the -5.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas Little Rock would win by a score of 69.3 to 67.1 with Arkansas Little Rock winning on the moneyline, Western Illinois winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Western Illinois vs. Arkansas Little Rock
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on W. Illinois Leathernecks on the -1.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arkansas Little Rock would win by a score of 71.0 to 70.7, Arkansas Little Rock winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.