Duke finally showed some vulnerability after Arizona cut a 19-point deficit to five before succumbing 100-93 to the Blue Devils. Caleb Love did most of the damage with 35 points for the Wildcats. Now Duke goes up against another hot-shooting team as Alabama made 25 of 51 3-point tries while burying BYU 113-88. Mark Sears scored 30 of his 34 points on 3s. Those performances result in an inflated posted total for this game even though Duke leads the country in defensive field goal percentage. The Crimson Tide will try to overcome that with a .374 3-point shooting percentage this season, and they showed some defensive prowess with their 80-66 win over Saint Mary's in the second round when the Gaels were held to 34 percent shooting and three of 14 from beyond the arc. Take the points with Alabama and the UNDER.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Alabama Crimson Tide on the +6.5 ATS. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Duke would win by a score of 89.3 to 81.7 with Duke winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 84% of the public bets were on Duke Blue Devils on the -9 ATS. 85% of the public money was on Duke Blue Devils to win on the moneyline. And, 73% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Duke would win by a score of 77.0 to 68.3 with Duke winning on the moneyline, Alabama winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.