Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic

Orlando came out of the break looking sharp in a 116-109 win at Cleveland as an underdog. They're on a 9-5 SU, 10-4 ATS run ranked sixth in the league in points given up and Top 10 at defending beyond the arc. Orlando is on a 35-19 spread run, including 14-4 ATS as a favorite, plus 14-3 versus losing squads. Detroit limps home from a six-game road trip losing four in a row. Detroit is 23rd in the NBA in scoring, while the defense is 27th in points surrendered, 25th in field goal shooting allowed, and 24th at defending the 3-pointer. The Pistons are 28-43 ATS against winning teams and 28-49 ATS at home off a double-digit loss to a divisional foe. Play Orlando. 

Detroit doesn't win many games, but the Pistons still have been a moneymaker with a 9-1 ATS record their past 10 games while winning only three outright. The Pistons got in under the number in their 136-125 loss to the Clippers on Friday as an 11.5-point underdog, and they have covered seven of eight home games. Also, Detroit is 5-0 ATS playing with one day of rest. Orlando has lost five of nine, although it does come off a 108-106 victory at Minnesota two nights ago. The Magic will be playing their fourth road game in seven days and they had to come from 17 points behind to beat the Timberwolves. Take the points with the Pistons as a Max Play.

Detroit is in a terrible spiral downward this season. They've scored just 101 and 102 points in the last two games to drop to 27th in the league in scoring. They will be without center Jalen Duren (ankle) for this one, their third-leading scorer. The Pistons are 116-79 UNDER the total on the road against teams that outrebound their opponents by 3+ boards per game. Orlando is the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference anchored by a defense that is seventh in points given up. NBA games featuring two squads that outrebound their opponents by +3 to +5.5 boards per game go 72-40 UNDER the total. Take Detroit/Orlando UNDER the total.