A long road trip for Los Angeles, a team who got off to a red-hot start, but then struggled after the Olympic break. Los Angeles is on a 9-8 SU and 6-11 ATS run since a 20-1 start. The offense has scored 66 and 60 points in its last two defeats. Los Angeles is on a 6-12 spread run, including 3-8 ATS away from home. The Sparks will have to lean on its top-ranked defense, but Minnesota is home and is the defending champ. In their three meetings, the Lynx were able to limit Spark's league MVP Nneka Ogwumike with their own formidable frontcourt of Sylvia Fowles and Rebekkah Brunson. Ogwumike averaged 16 points a game against the Lynx, but didn’t really dominate any of the matchups. They held her to nine points and three field goal attempts in the first meeting. Minnesota has its own MVP caliber player in Maya Moore, who shifted into a more aggressive mode during the playoffs sweep of Phoenix. She averaged 17 field goal attempts and six free throw attempts during that series, both up from the regular season. It resulted in over 25 points per game and three easy wins and covers. In fact, Minnesota is peaking at the right time, on a 16-2 SU and 12-4 ATS run. In the two Lynx wins they held the Sparks under their season percentage from three-point land. The Lynx have an advantage on the offensive glass, second in the league in offensive rebound percentage (30.2%) while the Sparks were #11 (22.3%). The Lynx are also stronger on the defensive glass. Over their three meetings during the regular season the Lynx were a +10 in offensive rebounds. All three of their primary bigs (Fowles, Brunson, and Natasha Howard) had offensive rebounding percentages over 10%, while no player on the Sparks managed that. The Lynx play great defense, too, finishing second in the WNBA in points allowed (77 per game) and have the edge on the Sparks when it comes to experience in the WNBA Finals. The wagering value is on a parlay with Minnesota winning a defensive game. Combine the Los Angeles at Minnesota UNDER 162 (-105) and the Lynx (-280) into a 2-team parlay at +165 odds.
This pick was released to clients on October 09, 2016 at 11:03AM ET.
WNBA
Los Angeles at Minnesota (WNBA) UNDER + Minnesota (WNBA-606) MONEYLINE
October 9, 2016
3:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on 2 Team Parlay: (+165) (risk 1 to return 2.65)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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