Tampa Bay at New York

The Islanders have reeled off five straight wins, scoring 3.8 goals per game over that stretch. But, that can't continue. They average just 2.4 goals per game on the season at home. Ask yourselves why the odds-makers are making Tampa Bay (just 10-19 on the road) a favorite here against such a hot team that has a winning home record. Smells fishy. The fact is, Tampa Bay seems to start out slow and then pick up in the second half of the season. Dating back to last season, they are 22-16 on the road in the second half of hte season. They are also 20-13 after allowing 3+ goals in three straight games over that span. We like the Lightning here.