Seattle at New York

We were on the Jets last week and I was dissapointed in how they essentially self-destructed from a penalty standpoint. Their loss to the Steelers is probably what's keeping this line under a touchdown. Maybe we'll benefit from that loss afterall. The Jets are not in the top tier of this league. They really don't have any hope in the playoffs against the likes of Pittsburgh or New England but they can definitely handle Seattle. They struggle against good defenses but they get the league's 23rd ranked on on Sunday. Their defense is stellar, holding opponents to just 14.8 points per game - best in the league. They'll need it against a Seattle team that is ranked 6th in the league in total offense. I think the Jets will be taking this game very seriously. They know they have an 0-4 record vs. winning teams. They lost to Pittsburgh and looked horrible on offense and want to prove to themselves that they can beat a winning team. This is a very important game for them. Winning teams that are laying 3+ at home if they are coming off a loss in which they scored very few points tend to bounce back very nicely the following week. They figure out a way to fix what's wrong and cover the spread about 75% o the time (2-1 so far this season). I also have a trend here that involves interconference home favorites that was 9-1 ATS last year (48-18) overall. The Jets are winners while Seattle finds a way to lose. Three stars on the Jets to cover the number.